Kodak built an early digital camera in 1975 and still went bankrupt in 2012. The popular story is only partly right, and the real one teaches more.
In 1975, a young engineer at Kodak built a camera that didn't use film. It weighed about eight pounds, took black-and-white pictures and saved them to a cassette tape. It was an early ancestor of the cameras in our phones.
Thirty-seven years later, in January 2012, Kodak filed for bankruptcy.
The popular story goes like this: Kodak invented digital photography, got scared, buried it to protect its film, and died. It's a neat story. But when I read the sources, I found it is only partly true. The real version is more useful, because it shows how hard this choice really is.
Steven Sasson was a young Kodak engineer. According to Wikipedia, his supervisor gave him a broad assignment to build an electronic camera using a ready-made chip called a CCD. Wikipedia says the prototype he finished in 1975 had a sensor of 100 by 100 pixels, which is about 0.01 megapixels. It stored a picture on a cassette tape, and it took 23 seconds to record one.
By today's standards that is tiny. A modern 12-megapixel phone photo has more than a thousand times as many pixels. But it worked. And it was battery-powered and could be carried around.
Here the story gets cloudy. The main account of management's reaction comes from Sasson himself. He told the New York Times, as reported by PetaPixel, that the executives were convinced no one would want to look at pictures on a television set. They pointed to paper prints, which people had enjoyed for over a hundred years and which were cheap.
The fact-checking site Snopes says Sasson demonstrated the camera to Kodak executives in 1976. Kodak received a patent in 1978 but did not put it into production. Snopes says Sasson was told Kodak could sell the camera but wouldn't, because it would eat into film sales. Snopes also calls the "they hid it to protect film" story an oversimplification, and says the product was not ready, no real market existed in 1975, and Kodak kept developing digital
These are recollections and a fact-check, not Kodak's own documents. I would hold them loosely.
Kodak did not ignore digital. According to Wikipedia:
So Kodak was a real player in digital. Wikipedia calls the idea that Kodak refused to invest in digital a common misconception.
Here is what the sources point to.
The money moved. Kodak's film business was a huge part of the company. Wikipedia says the whole company's revenue peaked at about $16 billion in 1996 and its profit at about $2.5 billion in 1999. It adds that film sales began to fall in 2001. Digital cameras, by contrast, earned low margins, because strong competition, including from Asian makers, kept profit margins low. Wikipedia, citing IDC, says Kodak's share of US digital cameras
A price war in film. Fuji took a bigger share of the US film market through the 1990s. Wikipedia lists Fuji at about 10% in the early 1990s and 17% in 1997, with a price war starting in 1997. Kodak was under pressure at home even before digital hit.
A weak next bet. Kodak re-entered the inkjet printer business in 2007. Wikipedia says the printers failed to become profitable.
So the sources point to no single mistake. They point to a squeeze: the big business was shrinking, the new business earned less, and the next bet didn't pay off.
To "cannibalise" your own product means to sell something that eats into your own sales. It's painful, because the better your old business is, the more you lose by replacing it.
Kodak's problem was that moving to digital didn't just replace film. It replaced a high-margin business with a low-margin one. That is my reading, but it suggests that even a good plan would have been painful. That makes the choice truly hard, and I don't think hindsight makes it easy.
Still, a few ideas seem useful.
When we know how a story ends, every earlier step looks obvious. In 1975, nobody could be sure that phones would carry cameras, or that people would share photos online. Kodak's managers were choosing in a fog, with a very profitable business in front of them. That does not excuse the outcome. It just reminds me to be humble when I judge other people's decisions, and to build my own habit of testing early, while the
I should be honest about what I don't know. The sources don't show what Kodak's executives said in private, what a different strategy would have earned, or whether any plan could have saved the company. Anyone who says they know is guessing. What we can say is that the invention was real, the company did invest in digital, and the sources suggest profits shifted faster than the business could follow.
Name the product or service that earns most of your profit. Ask: "If a competitor made this cheaper, faster or simpler, what would they sell, and would I be willing to sell it myself?" Then write down one small, cheap test you could run on that idea.
Being first with an invention isn't enough. I want to ask how my own business would earn money if my best product became unnecessary, and test that answer small, early, while things are still going well.
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